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GLOBAL RISK INTELLIGENCE
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Eurasian · Global South
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Eurasian · Global South
The Limits of Sanctions Learning Effects: Accumulated Distress in Russia's Wartime Finance and Complex Financial Risk
As Reuters reported on July 6, 2026, that a confidential report by a European national intelligence agency ("Note on the probability of a banking crisis in Russia in 2026") warned of the possibility of a banking crisis, the inherent risks of Russia's wartime financial system are coming to the fore.
July 8, 2026
Transatlantic
The Geopolitical Paradox of US Tech Hegemony and the Rise of Chinese Memory Driven by Apple's Supply Chain Pressure
Apple has been reported to be requesting 'Approval' or 'Assurance' from the Trump administration for the purchase of memory chips from Chinese DRAM manufacturer CXMT (ChangXin Memory Technologies). This is interpreted as an effort to prevent in advance an immediate supply chain cutoff situation that could occur if CXMT is listed on the U.S. Department of...
June 28, 2026
Eurasian · Global South
The Structure of Israel’s Isolation Created by the US-Iran War-Ending MoU
After the conclusion of the U.S.-Iran war-ending MoU, the basic structure of the Middle East is expected to shift from escalation management to a war-termination management phase. This change goes beyond the end of the bilateral armed conflict between the United States and Iran, and is forming new structural pressure across the broader surrounding fronts...
June 20, 2026
Transatlantic
Review of the US-Iran War
The essence of this U.S.-Iran conflict converges on the neutralization of the U.S. administration's short-term war-termination design. The United States sought to force Iranian concessions and secure negotiating leadership in the short term by mobilizing overwhelming initial military superiority and high-intensity pressure.
June 15, 2026